Category Archives: Shipping

Container glut pushes down second-hand prices, but carriers still ordering new

There are now too many containers in the world. And they are cluttering up the ports and yards we need to move containers through. And they cause detention and demurrage charges, because lines won’t move them out of ports.

The global container pool is around 50 million TEU right now. According to Drewry, that is an excess of 6 million TEU. However, Drewry is not too concerned about the excess at present, feeling they can be absorbed if trade picks up. Interestingly, Drewry seems to think that the excess will be absorbed by ‘slower sailing’!

As economics tells us to expect, the price of second-hand containers is falling. However, some carriers, such as Evergreen, continue to order more. Most containers are built in China these days. Three Chinese firms, with state connections, are the primary sources. The problem is that empty used containers cost a lot to return to exporting destinations. They displace paying cargo, forcing ocean carriers to use space to carry them. And especially, with the cost of bunker fuel in the stratosphere, and the need to use very low sulfur fuel in some busy port areas, the transportation cost is high. Ocean carriers have to ‘bundle’ the cost of returns into the one-way cost of the loaded shipment. Either that, or they take a hit by moving the old containers back.

The Seatrade article by Gary Howard has nice graphs showing the average price of 40-foot used containers in Europe, and in China, provided by Container xChange. Again the question of where excess containers will be stored is raised. There haven’t been many answers to that one yet.

By Martina Li in Taiwan 19/07/2022

Container glut pushes down second-hand prices, but carriers still ordering new – The Loadstar
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Gary Howard | Jul 19, 2022

6m teu oversupply of containers after ‘reactionary’ ordering

In topsy-turvy commodity trades, small ships outperform big ships

It’s unusual for small ships to be more valuable than large ones. But that has been happening in the tanker and dry bulk shipping area. The disruptions of 2022, following on Covid, have created markets better served by smaller ships.

One source of large dislocations in markets is a result of the Ukraine war. Because of sanctions, China has stopped shipping crude from Arabia. That was a channel that favored VLCC tankers. In addition, Russian exports of oil favor the use of smaller ships.

But other markets, too, have seen this effect as well. China, for instance, has reduced imports of iron ore and coal, partly due to Covid restrictions, and partly due to the deep slowdown in Chinese construction, requiring less steel production.

Clarksons, the shipping consulting firm, expects a reversal to more normal price differentials by 2024.

Greg Miller Wednesday, July 13, 2022

In topsy-turvy commodity trades, small ships outperform big ships

Zelenskyy urges Greek owners to stop moving Russian oil

There’s more to this story than just some Greeks shipping oil for Russia. Apparently Russia has been engaged in shipping Ukranian wheat via ‘dark shipping’ for a while now. Some Greek shipping magnates believe the sanctions on Russia are ‘bullshit’. With that belief, they feel little concern for making them work. Since Greek shipping moves a large amount of oil, this is a problem for the EU and for people who support Ukraine.

In dark shipping, ships turn off their AIS tracking when they are near ports where suspect cargo can be loaded. While draft upon entering and leaving can be observed, you can’t tell what’s been loaded or unloaded by the location where they docked. It’s an ideal way to transport forbidden materials without actually opting out of the universal tracking system.

All’s fair in war. And business is war. There’s no love here.

Sam Chambers July 6, 2022

Zelenskyy urges Greek owners to stop moving Russian oil  – Splash247