Category Archives: Shipping

Your packages will cost more to ship

UPS is adding surcharges to package shipments. The ‘surge fee’ is applied to packages from China and 12 Australasian countries arriving by air.

It should result in a big revenue gain. Shipments from China to the US are up more than 20% from last year. Many of the shipments are de minimis, which means they are small in size and/or weight, and don’t need a special customs handling. The ‘surge fee’ will add 50 cents per pound to these shipments, and all others.

Do you think UPS’ volumes will take a hit? Will shippers go elsewhere? Probably. But the business may not be very profitable, and the least profitable segments will move first.

UPS has also been adding fuel surcharges to package shipments.

At some point, shippers will look elsewhere for a carrier. And meantime, your e-commerce orders will start costing more.

By Ian Putzger  29/08/2024

Surcharges add up for parcel shippers – and there may be more to come

Geopolitics and shipping

Geopolitics is having a great effect on ocean shipping today. Trade is where wars are fought now. It may have been true in the past as well, but the means and methods are changing rapidly.

I listened to this podcast featuring Jon Thompson, co-founder and commercial director of Ambrey, an international risk management company. He made several interesting points.

What’s become possible only recently is to combine, using digital infrastructure, information about many factors into an overview of the risk attendant on any voyage. Ambrey has been working on displaying info about piracy, missile attacks, weather, environmental zones, conflict zones, fuel availability and usage, and others, so it can be incorporated into contracts and insurance provisions, as well as used by captains and ship managers to plan voyages to reduce risk and increase profit.

Ambrey started out supplying onboard security to ships, intending to prevent piracy. But their vision has now expanded to all the hazards commercial ships face; assessing, rating, and providing insurance against them.

Another point he made is that the oceans, 70% of the earth, are becoming better understood and measured. Ocean shipping needs to take advantage of this increasing knowledge about who’s using them where and what conditions they are facing.

John Thompson’s view of the data, analytics, and AI involved, and the business aspects it affects, is most interesting. Take a listen.

John also has interesting views on what he and others look for in hiring new people.

Seatrade logo

Marcus Hand | Aug 08, 2024

https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/ship-operations/geopolitics-and-shipping-john-thompson-ambrey

Red Sea ripples spread across trades

The repercussions of the Red Sea crisis have been longer-lasting and more severe than many shippers thought. Shippers expected delays proportional to the extra sailing time. They may have expected proportional cost increases as well.

But they did not count on such factors as the extreme congestion in Singapore and in other ports. And in ports that have become pivotal, there are looming shortages of equipment such as chassis.

It looks like the disruptions will be with us awhile.

Trade besides containers is also in an upheaval. Sam Chambers’s recent Splash story points out that there is landside competition for capesize ocean shipments of coal.

Mongolia has always had big coal deposits, but moving the coal to international users was a problem. But new rail lines are making the country a viable source for China. China is also importing more from Russia. This chart from Drewry’s shows how the mix of countries China imports from has changed over the past few years.

BAr chart of China coking coal imports

The impact on shipping is that there will be less demand for capesize bulkers to import from Australia and Indonesia.

This is one more piece of evidence that global trade is radically changing. It will affect both shipowners and shippers in ways that are hard to foresee. Hold on to your hat!

By Charlotte Goldstone  29/07/2024

Red Sea ripples spread across container trades

Sam Chambers July 30, 2024

soaring Mongolian coal shipments by rail to China