Tag Archives: ocean shipping

The Hidden Costs of Containerization

This article stresses the awful situation seafarers find themselves in, as a result of ships being stranded offshore unable to unload or load, and national COVID rules about flying and debarking, which prevent them from getting home when their time at sea ends. It’s a terrible situation, and countries have not done enough to make it better. International organizations such as the ILS don’t really have much influence in the face of the pandemic.

That’s not the only cost of containerization. Just like Amazon packaging, empty containers are overwhelming America’s ports, and large ports elsewhere. Countries that import more than they export are at risk of a buildup of empty containers. The original idea was that they would go back cheaply to exporting countries, kind of like HP empty printer cartridges, to be refilled and sent again, an example of a reverse supply chain.

Enter the Chinese steel industry, and Chinese nationally-backed container manufacturers. Cheap steel in China and a huge demand for containers has conspired to let these firms make new containers for just about the cost of bringing the empties back. One could argue that it’s better to use a new container because it’s less likely to have hidden damage that might affect the cargo, and that might offset the small price difference. Also eliminated is the coordination overhead of managing the shipment of empties, and then matching the empty used container with a shipper that needs it, and getting it to the loading spot.

The article also points out that the very large container ships of today have caused enormous capital investments at ports around the world. Their draft of around 50 feet meant that harbors needed to be deepened, bridges raised (New York); and their length meant that extra-long quay space is required, cutting out space for smaller barges and feeder ships (Rotterdam, Antwerp) which meant that inland transport of goods (and return of empties) could not be as efficient and timely.

The huge capital investments at ports also created winners and losers. Ports that invested reaped the benefits of increased traffic. A port is an economic engine in its neighborhood, providing jobs and business flow. Ports that did not or could not invest can no longer count on ships coming.

It’s interesting that now, in the midst of the congestion panic, a few larger shippers are forsaking the world of the megaships and alliances. They are chartering smaller container vessels themselves, buying their own containers, and seeking ports that don’t have the same level of congestion. IKEA, Amazon, Wal-mart, and others have sufficient cargo flow that they can invest in this bypass to the ocean carrier-dominated shipping scene. This could prove a boon to smaller ports who did not invest before, but who can handle the smaller ships.

It’s an old adage of operations management that a lean system will reduce batch size. In terms of our supply chains, that would mean smaller ships, more frequent sailings, and use of a wide variety of ports. And it would spread the wealth and the environmental issues shipping brings over a wider landscape.

BY AMIR KHAFAGY FEBRUARY 2, 2022

The Hidden Costs of Containerization – The American Prospect

Vessel schedule reliability lowest on record

The nice graphs here show that ocean carrier schedule reliability is extremely low, hovering between 30 and 40%.

Source: Sea-Intelligence, via Port Technology International

The COVID years of 2020 and 2021 have seen a remarkable drop from the 70% to 80% reliability of 2018 and 2019. Is COVID likely the culprit? To some extent the disruption it triggered caused order fluctuation that the ocean carriers with their very large ships were not prepared for. The ensuing port congestion coupled with the practice of blanking sailings of the very large ships when they were not nearly full caused the drop.

I don’t see how a service with a 30% to 40% reliability can maintain itself. The ocean carriers say that back to normal demand will fix the problem, but the fact is that demand for instance from Asia to the West Coast US is actually still below peaks of 2019. So normal demand would be higher, not lower.

Vessel schedule reliability lowest on record 27 January 2022 Port Technology International Team

Vessel schedule reliability lowest on record – Port Technology International

New teu waiting days indicator highlights the severity of global container congestion

Kuehne + Nagel has developed a new measure of container congestion. Its digital platform seaexplorer now features the Global Disruption Index.

The index seems to total the cumulative TEU waiting time in days, based on container ship capacity in certain disrupted hot spots. Many US ports are included in the index. some Chinese and Korean ports and European ports are also included.

The graph below is an example of the information available. It clearly shows the rise in the index from 1- December to 19-January. North American ports are also clearly the largest contributors; however it is not clear from the article whether more ports from the US and North America are included in the analysis. The patterns are clearly similar.

Source: Graph from seaexplorer via Daily Splash article.

Now quite a few marine reporting services have developed congestion measures.

Is there a best one? I have not seen a study comparing the indices as to accuracy or the ability to provide insight.

For instance this Bloomberg article talks about another one, from RBC Capital Markets.

And this article from the Washington Post gives a good picture of the problems in the US.

Splash247 has also reported on the index created by the New York Federal Reserve here.

But the congestion cannot be denied. How to measure it and how to fix it are the questions to answer, for we get what we measure.

Sam Chambers January 20, 2022

New teu waiting days indicator highlights the severity of global container congestion – Splash247