Tag Archives: panama canal

Panama Flag tonnage slips

Geopolitics is playing a role in selection of flag states. That includes both US pressure for supply chain control by nations in the Americas against China, and reactions by China. But Panama also wants to cultivate a pristine image as a flag state that supports and enforces international rules.

According to the most recent Clarkson’s Research data, Marshall Islands now ranks ahead of Panama in fleet tonnage registered. Liberia remains first.

Panama’s drop has two causes.

First, Panama has been actively removing shadow fleet and older tonnage from their registry. These are usually ships that run a risk of maintenance problems. Panama now limits tankers and bulkers older than 15 years. This is a sign that Panama wants to be known as a trusted registry, safety-conscious and willing to enforce maritime safety and management rules.

Panama stands out for the age of its fleet. Its average ship is 19.5 years old, the oldest among the top five flags. Liberia averages 12.6 years, the Marshall Islands 12, Singapore 11.3 and Hong Kong 14.9.

Second, Panama and China are crossing swords over the Panama government’s seizure of the CK Hutchison port terminals at each end of the Panama Canal.

This comes after the Hong Kong-based terminal operator, went through a phase of trying to sell the terminals. The original consortium was led by US investment firm BlackRock. However, no agreement could be reached, and the government of China said they would prevent the acquisition.

This seems to be reasonable evidence that China was indeed counting on geopolitical leverage from governance of the two ports.

Accordingly, Panama’s government went to its courts, and Panama’s highest court found that the port management contracts were illegal, and CK Hutchison would be displaced as the terminal operator. Panama is currently bidding the port management contracts and has placed temporary operators in control at the two ports.

Some think that the Panama government was encouraged or asked by the US to get rid of the Chinese influence at its ports, and the seizure by the high court was the result.

Fallout from this seizure has been action by China against Panama-flagged ships at Chinese ports. Chinese leasing companies have subsequently required some owners to reflag away from Panama when arranging newbuilding finance. Heightened Chinese scrutiny of Panama-flagged ships followed Panama’s removal of CK Hutchison-linked operators.

Some shipowners are switching to another flag to be able to access Chinese ports. This could certainly cause a decline in registered tonnage.

Graphs below, courtesy of Splash 24/7, show sizes of the top 10 and top 5 flag states.

A graph illustrating the development of the world fleet, highlighting year-on-year growth percentages, alongside a bar chart showcasing the top 10 flag state fleets by size in million gross tons (m. GT) for September 2026.

Source: Clarksons Research, via Splash 24/7

Logo of Splash247.com featuring the word 'Splash' in bold black font with a blue underline, followed by '.com'.

Sam Chambers September 25, 2026

https://splash247.com/panama-slips-to-third-in-global-flag-rankings/

Panama drought and its impact on bulk shipping

Drewry has an insightful article on the problems the Panama Canal is facing due to the extended drought that has compromised its water supply.

The article discusses the water levels and also the prospects for a variety of shipment types, such as LNG and agricultural. The effect on trade patterns could be marked in a number of cases.

Drewry produces high-quality research and it’s must reading if you have an interest in bulk transport

Drewry, 12 Sep 2023

Panama drought and its impact on bulk shipping

New Panama Canal rail alternative into the US

We all know now that the Panama Canal is suffering from a lack of water, due to a prolonged drought. The result is limits on draft of ships traversing it. The Canal has also raised rates recently. So shippers are looking for alternatives.

Just remember that the canal was getting increased use as shippers migrated from US West Coast ports, and started using East Coast ports. The trip is a lot longer in time, but if there is a disruption danger at West Coast ports, it makes some sense. Over the COVID period, East Coast ports such as Savannah and the Port of Virginia have made major investments in inland infrastructure to support better distribution of goods inland. Of course Houston is also a very good port to reach from the Panama Canal and has significant container capacity.

Now we see some results from the merger of the Kansas City Southern railroad, formerly a US Class I line, and the Canadian Pacific (CP) railroad. The new line has significant capacity in Mexico which the KC developed on its own for some years. This new route will allow shippers to send cargo to Lazaro Cardenas in Mexico, a West Coast Mexico port, to Houston or north to Chicago. The route from Asia is longer in time than the US West Coast ports, but days shorter than the East Coast ports, and with excellent penetration to the Central US areas around Chicago and Kansas City.

I think this is a good marketing strategy for the CPKC railroad. Another West Coast port could well get a steady stream of container cargoes. The route would be less sensitive to West Coast US disturbances such as strikes, and less dependence on the BNSF and UP rail systems, both of which are under fire for scheduling issues, and are known to be a bit light on staff, according to recent reports from their various craft unions.

However, when there are no disturbances, the West Coast ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach are still the fast and dependable way to get cargoes into the central US. They are also good fast ways via the land bridge to get cargoes to Europe by transshipping again from the East Coast ports such as New York.

If the West Coast ports can keep on an even keel, I think their efficiency will attract back a good chunk of the trade they lost due to the strike. Trade of all kinds is down, but it’s still considerable.

Seatrade logo

Marcus Hand | Aug 09, 2023

CPKC offering Panama Canal rail alternative via Lazaro Cardenas into the US