Tag Archives: transportation

America’s freight railroads are incredibly chaotic right now

Right now there’s a big railroad strike looming. There’s also a potential strike coming up among West Coast dock workers. And there is labor unrest elsewhere in the supply chain area, including warehouse workers and independent contractor drivers.

It’s obvious that when things are difficult for employers, that’s the time to stage a strike if you’re a union. The circumstances offer the opportunity to generate maximum impact on the firms.

But the railroads have many other problems that coalesce into a serious decline in service. Rails were all excited about PSR, or precision scheduled railroading, an effort to apply some lean principles to the management of rail traffic. The trouble with lean, however, is always in the interpretation. It’s easy for managers to get carried away and cut too deeply, whether it be equipment, labor, or other resources. It makes the bottom line look good instantly, but reduced flexibility to deal with change. And it may even reduce customer service, if that isn’t measured in a sound fashion, that takes the customer interest into account. I’m afraid some of the rails did not perform their lean transformation that well.

The Covid epidemic didn’t help, either. It created a temporary decline in demand, and it was easy to ride that trend downward and reduce inputs too much. That’s what happened here. The rails simply cut staff too deep. And now that demand for rail has increased, it’s really hard to catch up.

The Great Resignation or Relocation is also amplifying the problem. People don’t want to keep jobs that make them work hours they don’t want, or force them into a difficult lifestyle. So even if union contracts are signed, there’s no guarantee that workers will become available for the rails. They may decide to choose other jobs and lifestyles. Make the job too hard, and no one will want it.

I feel that rails took their eye off the ball— customer service. Customers depend on rail for reliable on-time delivery, within the requirements for their use of the products. That means the trains have to run on time. There can’t be shortages of equipment or labor. When those are cut too deeply, it’s hard to bring them back quickly.

And the financial implications, to stock prices, and now high inflation, also work against the executives making difficult decisions to not cut so deep. Inflation makes capital items harder to replace. And the labor shortage means that higher wages will hurt the bottom line, since the raises ought to be offered to everyone, not just new workers— that’s the basic law of monopsony.

So the chaos in dispatching and routing for rails today is not entirely due to labor in my opinion. It’s also due to the big rails not continuing to invest in infrastructure improvements, in switching yards and equipment that would support their goals of reducing future congestion and costs. And they will need to cooperate as well. Allowing customers to cross-connect would help. Improving switching yards, or humps, to make switching cars and trains faster, would help. In a few places, double-track and double-stack would help. And better port-to-rail connectivity would help.

Rails also can’t ignore the agriculture supply chains which rely on them for both exports and domestic deliveries. Those chains aren’t as profitable as some others but have to be served. We allowed the rails to abandon passenger transportation years ago. But we can’t allow them to abandon other business sectors that depend on them.

Rachel Premack Thursday, July 14, 2022

America’s freight railroads are incredibly chaotic right now – FreightWaves

Joanna Marsh Wednesday, July 13, 2022

Rail union members could go on strike Monday amid contract impasse – FreightWaves

Used truck auction prices plunge as freight market cools

All of a sudden, it seems, used trucks are losing value. It could be because some truckers are finding the trucking business hard to make a living in right now. Spot rates for cargo have fallen recently. Sometimes they are even below contract rates for recently negotiated contracts.

I think the recession is starting to hit trucking. Inventories of many firms are fully stocked, and if business sales slows these firms won’t need to replenish so fast. Hence less trucking needed.

Some of the hot spots for truckers, like the West Coast ports, are starting to slow down also, so less drayage or off-port hauling is needed. There are just fewer loads available.

It’s a good sign for supply chain congestion, but not so good for those who recently entered the business.

So truckers are selling their rigs more frequently.

It’s not an easy business to make a buck in.

Alan Adler Thursday, June 16, 2022

Used truck auction prices plunge as freight market cools – FreightWaves

Two less-obvious reasons why trucking capacity has remained so tight

C. H. Robinson is a well-established third-party logistics company, with close ties to academic communities of logistics experts, as well as broad contacts in the field. Their 2020 Annual Report shows revenues over $16 billion, and a $2.4 billion profit. Their main businesses are North American surface transportation and global forwarding. They are the largest less-than-truckload 3PL in the US.

Clearly they have expertise in trucking, and a need to know what’s going on in the area. In this article they asked Jason Miller, a Logistics professor at Michigan State University, to talk about why trucking capacity is so tight.

He offers two reasons.

First, the pandemic surge was very disruptive to trucking, more than we think. It’s not just the COVID impact itself, and the loss of time, and it’s not just the ‘driver shortage’. it’s the fact that drivers started changing jobs to find positions safer and more conducive to a lifestyle they find more comfortable. Retention of drivers became a big problem. My research too indicates that turnover at trucking firms reached as high as 90% over the last two years. That adds recruiting, hiring, and training costs, and makes it hard to keep to schedules and load commitments. It’s part of ‘The Great Resignation’, and it hit trucking harder than most other sectors.

Second, one of the choices drivers made was to leave employment at trucking firms, and become owner-operators. The figures Dr Miller shows on this are remarkable.

Source: CH Robinson Blog

Many of these new owner-operator firms were local freight rather than long-haul, showing that drivers wanted to be home more often than a long-haul schedule allows. Acting as an owner-operator also allows drivers to choose which loads they will accept; they can reject loads that carry onerous schedules or working conditions or excessive paperwork. As employees they had no say about which job they would take.

We know that trucking as an owner-operator is an easy-entry business. All you need to do is have a tractor and the appropriate filings with the government. Load boards provide a constant source of business you can bid on. And over time you can build a repeat-business clientele of shippers you want to work with.

You can also easily switch markets. Now that West Coast freight rates have shot up, we find that owner-operators have left the East and Midwest and flocked there to feast on the elevated drayage and haulage rates in the West. That creates shortages in other areas.

Miller has some advice for C.H. Robinson clients, which you can read. I wanted to highlight the article for its insightful look at aspects of truck driver supply we don’t often think about.

Trucking never fails to be interesting to examine!

Two less-obvious reasons why trucking capacity has remained so tight | C.H. Robinson blog

Two less-obvious reasons why trucking capacity has remained so tight | C.H. Robinson blog