SONAR data show shippers’ East Coast strike worries

It’s interesting how when we measure something we soon are able to pick up signals that something different is happening. Freightwaves has been publishing SONAR data on different logistical measures for quite a while. This article shows several measurements which tell us that shippers are looking for alternatives in advance of any East Coast port strike in the US.

Inbound bookings are up at Los Angeles. Outbound container volume is up at LA and down at New York.

The trick in the graphs here (from the article) is to look at the white line representing 2024 volumes. It’s only two-thirds of the way across. But it’s way up in LA.

So already there is evidence of a flight by shippers to the West Coast ports from the East Coast ports. That’s not good news for the East Coast and South ports, who are the potential targets of the strike by the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA). Those who follow the news know that September 30 is the date by which an agreement should be reached. So far the government has not intervened to force arbitration and require work to continue.

I love the statistics in this article. For instance the Long Outbound Tender Volume Index (tender bids (measured by an index) for trucking outbound from LA is up to 171 this year, way above the las two years. It will be hard to get trucking services outbound from LA in the immediate future; capacity will be short.

A logistics pro might well consider using the SONAR data to look for trends that might affect how she looks for transportation services, and the price she’s willing to offer.

Michael Baudendistel·Tuesday, September 10, 2024

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/shippers-wariness-of-potential-ila-strike-visible-in-sonar-data

Your packages will cost more to ship

UPS is adding surcharges to package shipments. The ‘surge fee’ is applied to packages from China and 12 Australasian countries arriving by air.

It should result in a big revenue gain. Shipments from China to the US are up more than 20% from last year. Many of the shipments are de minimis, which means they are small in size and/or weight, and don’t need a special customs handling. The ‘surge fee’ will add 50 cents per pound to these shipments, and all others.

Do you think UPS’ volumes will take a hit? Will shippers go elsewhere? Probably. But the business may not be very profitable, and the least profitable segments will move first.

UPS has also been adding fuel surcharges to package shipments.

At some point, shippers will look elsewhere for a carrier. And meantime, your e-commerce orders will start costing more.

By Ian Putzger  29/08/2024

Surcharges add up for parcel shippers – and there may be more to come

Rail freight inducements hope to drive new loads

This interesting article ties together several efforts by national rail agencies to drum up more traffic. The countries range from Russia to the UK.

When you have a national railroad, rather than private enterprise, you can make quick changes that will reduce costs for the kinds of shipments you want.

The article focuses on Russia, which is losing lots of cargoes from the Far East headed for Europe. Russian rail traffic is suffering from sanctions the West has imposed due to the war in Ukraine. Recent efforts by Ukraine on the war front around Kursk have also compromised Russian rail. Apparently grabbing a few rail nodes has given Ukraine access to some control over much of the Russian rail network!

And some of the competitors, such as Kazakhstan, are making competitive moves as well, to garner even bigger shares of the Asia to Europe rail cargoes. With the Red Sea attacks on ships by the Houthis, which forced ships to avoid the Suez Canal and take on much longer voyages from Asia to Europe, the Kazakhstan rail link is prospering greatly. It skirts Russia to link to European rail lines.

Other national rail agencies are also acting to promote rail cargo. That’s a good thing for emissions. It takes trucks and their emissions off the road. That’s part of the motivation in the UK.

Anything we can do to promote rail cargoes over trucks will benefit the environment.

By Alexander Whiteman 29/08/2024

Railfreight round-up: Russia discounts; new locos for KTZ; UK fee waivers