Category Archives: Strategy

Panama Flag tonnage slips

Geopolitics is playing a role in selection of flag states. That includes both US pressure for supply chain control by nations in the Americas against China, and reactions by China. But Panama also wants to cultivate a pristine image as a flag state that supports and enforces international rules.

According to the most recent Clarkson’s Research data, Marshall Islands now ranks ahead of Panama in fleet tonnage registered. Liberia remains first.

Panama’s drop has two causes.

First, Panama has been actively removing shadow fleet and older tonnage from their registry. These are usually ships that run a risk of maintenance problems. Panama now limits tankers and bulkers older than 15 years. This is a sign that Panama wants to be known as a trusted registry, safety-conscious and willing to enforce maritime safety and management rules.

Panama stands out for the age of its fleet. Its average ship is 19.5 years old, the oldest among the top five flags. Liberia averages 12.6 years, the Marshall Islands 12, Singapore 11.3 and Hong Kong 14.9.

Second, Panama and China are crossing swords over the Panama government’s seizure of the CK Hutchison port terminals at each end of the Panama Canal.

This comes after the Hong Kong-based terminal operator, went through a phase of trying to sell the terminals. The original consortium was led by US investment firm BlackRock. However, no agreement could be reached, and the government of China said they would prevent the acquisition.

This seems to be reasonable evidence that China was indeed counting on geopolitical leverage from governance of the two ports.

Accordingly, Panama’s government went to its courts, and Panama’s highest court found that the port management contracts were illegal, and CK Hutchison would be displaced as the terminal operator. Panama is currently bidding the port management contracts and has placed temporary operators in control at the two ports.

Some think that the Panama government was encouraged or asked by the US to get rid of the Chinese influence at its ports, and the seizure by the high court was the result.

Fallout from this seizure has been action by China against Panama-flagged ships at Chinese ports. Chinese leasing companies have subsequently required some owners to reflag away from Panama when arranging newbuilding finance. Heightened Chinese scrutiny of Panama-flagged ships followed Panama’s removal of CK Hutchison-linked operators.

Some shipowners are switching to another flag to be able to access Chinese ports. This could certainly cause a decline in registered tonnage.

Graphs below, courtesy of Splash 24/7, show sizes of the top 10 and top 5 flag states.

A graph illustrating the development of the world fleet, highlighting year-on-year growth percentages, alongside a bar chart showcasing the top 10 flag state fleets by size in million gross tons (m. GT) for September 2026.

Source: Clarksons Research, via Splash 24/7

Logo of Splash247.com featuring the word 'Splash' in bold black font with a blue underline, followed by '.com'.

Sam Chambers September 25, 2026

https://splash247.com/panama-slips-to-third-in-global-flag-rankings/

AI use growing, but cost…?

This report by McKinsey, the global consulting firm, sheds some light on what’s happening in the commercial realm with AI. It’s based on an online survey taken in May and June 2026, with 1,719 participants in 97 nations, spread across a full range of regions, industries, company sizes, and functional specialties. 36% of respondents work for companies with more than $1B USD in annual revenue.

The heat map below, from the report, shows the relation of AI use that has passed beyond R&D into scaling phase by industry type and business function. The entries are the percent of respondents who say their firm is into the scaling phase. The business function rows are ranked by total percent.

What stands out?

  • How low are supply chain and manufacturing functions!! You would think there would be a lot of applications in these business functions. But, NO! Maybe it’s just because these functions are typically cost-conscious and slow to choose new technology.
  • But in advanced manufacturing, industry use in supply chains and manufacturing is close to the highest at 14%.
  • IT, knowledge management and software engineering are high. That’s what one expects when a technology such as AI emerges. We saw the same thing with the coming of the internet in the late 1990s.
  • Media is high!! What a surprise! The AI engines train on large quantities of media output. If they just operate as a grandiose search engine, they already add value of a kind we can appreciate.

One of the fascinating tidbits from the report is that chatbots are the most frequently employed form of AI. We guess that already, if we use the internet at all today. Every website seems to have one. And if my experience is any guide, they are mostly useless. They give answers to stupid questions, and can’t handle anything even slightly complicated. The most they do is have a real agent call you, and mostly they don’t do that. They direct you to someplace in the company’s sitemap, which you have probably already read without profit before desperately trying the chat.

I question whether this is the best use of all the energy and other resources consumed searching and re-searching all those tokenized training documents.

We haven’t yet seen the real cost of all these searches, over and over again, of all those training documents. It’s measured in tokens, and currently the tokens are underpriced as a loss leader to get us hooked on using AI instead of the far simpler internet search like Google. We see in daily news how many massive data centers are being built, how much resource they consume (electricity, water, grid capacity). Those costs have to be paid for in a viable business. They have no choice but to charge us for the use.

Just like internet and cell phones and cable TV, and phone service before that, we users will have to pay.

Dan Tinkoff, Lieven van der Veken, Michael Chu, and Tara Balakrishnan, August 2026

India’s Maritime and Ports Goals

India is instituting major improvements in their ports and maritime system. This is crucial, since India is rapidly becoming an important technology and manufacturing center for the world.

Drewry recently put on a webinar about India’s plans.

India is taking steps to improve shipbuilding. The figure below shows regions affected.

India is also driving to increase India-flagged ships, and control more ships to carry their production goods. They want to increase the capacity of trade from India, as well as trade to India.

One aspect is improving waterways, including inland waterways. The figure below shows their goals for 2047.

Funding is important. India does not want to make the mistake many countries have made, seeking external capital, for instance from China. That would not be geopolitically smart, since it creates a dependency on a large foreign state and gives that state some control. But India now is generating excess capital looking for investments, because of the fast development in the country. India can do a lot of it themselves, even including private Indian financing. So India is creating financial incentives.

It’s a demanding agenda.

Drewry claims that India should focus on an ecosystem approach rather than individual projects.

With geopolitics favoring India right now as a manufacturing destination, the projects should all work together to create the overall maritime service system the nation needs.